Timo Werner reckons this season has been essentially the most unfortunate of his profession, however is he proper?
The ahead had yet one more aim disallowed for offside on the ultimate day of the Premier League season.
Werner noticed his effort in opposition to Aston Villa chalked off by VAR by the best of margins, as Cesar Azpilicueta was adjudged to be offside.
The £53million man additionally noticed two objectives disallowed midweek in opposition to Leicester, albeit appropriately, and a blatant penalty denied.
Then after the break, we had been reminded why Werner has been concerned in additional objectives than every other participant for Chelsea this season when he received a penalty – which proved essential because the match completed 2-1 to the Blues.
“The primary half was a bit like a mirror of the entire season for me,” he stated.
“Till now I used to be all the time shut, then on the finish probably not shut. It might be the unluckiest season I’ve had and could have.
It’s these flashes of hazard, brought on by endless endeavour, which proceed to encourage Chelsea followers.
Certainly, it’s not a query of Werner entering into goalscoring positions. This can be a participant who, in accordance with anticipated objectives (xG), ought to have 20 this season, however solely has 12.
The actual query is, how a lot of that’s dangerous luck, and the way a lot is simply his personal fault?
Eight objectives lower than what is anticipated throughout 50 matches is indicative of one thing way more vital than simply freak incidents or distinctive goalkeeping.
It seems like there’s a obvious miss to go together with every of Werner’s 12 strikes, or an opportunity ruined by the actual fact he’s stood offside.
Previous to the ultimate recreation of the season, Werner had scored simply 10 of his 34 large possibilities this season, at a disappointing conversion price of 29.41 per cent.
To place that into context, each different striker on the so-called ‘large six’ golf equipment has taken at the very least 45 per cent of their large possibilities.
That implies Werner is struggling to search out corners, moderately than experiencing dangerous luck.
Tammy Abraham has the identical variety of objectives this season regardless of barely that includes in any respect since February – that’s arduous luck.
What’s extra, having been caught offside a whopping 41 instances this season – a league-high of any participant – we predict that’s in all probability one thing to do with Werner’s positioning moderately than misfortune.
One factor these stats do illustrate, nonetheless, is that Werner is harmful, and Chelsea create extra when he performs.
Anybody can see that his tempo and motion causes issues, when it’s on the right facet of the final defender, at the very least.
“Perhaps he wants to enhance his spacial consciousness,” former Chelsea striker Carlton Cole advised talkSPORT. “However he’s obtained the motion that drags defenders out the best way.
“Hopefully subsequent season, the objectives will come. As a result of I really like a trier.”
A nasty patch for a striker is alarming when possibilities dry up, however the Chelsea man has no scarcity of alternatives.
And having scored 179 instances in skilled soccer on the age of 25, it feels unfair to label him a foul finisher, moderately than one experiencing a short lived stoop.
So what’s the reply? To summarise, sure there is a component of freakishness about Werner’s luck this season.
Stats can’t seize a normal feeling that in an alternate universe, Werner might be the Premier League’s prime scorer.
For essentially the most half, although, within the easiest of phrases: medical strikers will inform you that timing runs and sticking possibilities away is nothing to do with luck.